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Data Visualization & Data Analytics by Puyue Niu

Will Your Job Pay More in 2030?

We combined government wage data, AI research, and labor market projections to forecast how salaries might change for 30 common careers — and what AI has to do with it.

If you're a student thinking about your future, one of the biggest questions is: will this job still pay well by the time I graduate? With AI changing so many industries, that's harder to answer than ever. So we built a tool to help.

Where the data comes from

Every historical wage figure comes from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) — the government's official source for what workers actually earn. We tracked 30 occupations across seven years from 2015 to 2024.

How we predict the future

Instead of one forecast, we built three scenarios. Optimistic assumes strong wage growth and slow AI adoption. Baseline reflects the most likely outcome based on current trends. Pessimistic assumes faster AI disruption and slower wage growth.

What makes our model different is the AI layer. We scored over 680 individual job tasks using the Claude AI, asking: can AI replace this task, assist with it, or not touch it at all? Jobs where AI takes over more tasks receive a lower projected wage growth — because when AI can do more of your job, employers have less reason to pay you more.

Data Sources:

BLS OEWS (2015–2024) · BLS Employment Cost Index · BLS Occupational Projections 2024–2034 · O*NET Web Services · Anthropic Claude API

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